3 JAN 1000 PM EST

Posted by wxrisk | GENERAL | Sunday 3 January 2010 10:07 pm

  FOLKS…   this is  a  new   product.    Many of you have told  me that while you love the maps and discussion you want a  clear   forecast that was  easy to   read and follow. Well here   ya Go.    I am  looking for ways to improve this  new format   so there may  be some additional changes   coming up.   FEED BACK is  desired….     post   it  down below  in the comments  sections. 

 If you are running a  weather   sensitive Business     such as a   Propane or Energy…  Ski resorts… landscapping or  construction  and   new   detailed   2 and 3  week forecast you should   try  VA   BUSINESS  Newsletter .     This is a paid  subscription    service.   If you are interested    send me an   Email at  [email protected]  or   at   facebook.com/ wxrisk  

 The forecast and discussion you are about to read is MY forecast.     It is NOT in anyway connected to any TV station in VA or The Weather Channel (TWC) or NWS.     The Focus of this forecast is to provide YOU… with reliable accurate 2 weeks Forecast.    What you will NOT see is a temperatures forecast with a Max and Min temp and a Cute little raindrop or snowflake.      There are several sites on the internet where you an get that sort of thing but the truth is when you see a forecast with exact temperatures for 8 days or 11 days from now what you are really looking at is Computer generated product.    The Truth is that it is IMPOSSIBLE to accurately forecast temperatures past 6 days. So I am going to do things a little differently here.

..

That being said you should ALWAYS follow all NWS watches warnings and special weather statements. Over the past few years there has been some call from some other private   weather service   information Providers (PWSIPs)    to be able to issue Watches and Warnings in place of NWS. WXRISK.COM thinks that idea is dangerous and foolhardy and I fully support NWS being the ONLY source for ALL official Watches Warnings Climate Data.
==========================================================================
   
Click  on the Map   to see full image…. or  click  HERE  
You will the 9 zones  of VA    which   are based  upon the  9 zones   that  VDOT   uses.   These 9 zones are used in the table below    

  THE   FORECAST   -  SHORT TERM         (JAN 4-5-6)

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
    SW=
SOUTHWEST
 ROA
ROANOKE
SHENANDOAH   S.PIEDMONT   N. PIEDMONT
TEMPS   MIN  temps 24-27   all 3 days 
MAX  temps   43-47 all 3  days
    MIN  temps 22-26   all 3 days 
MAX  temps   42-45 all 3  days
  MIN  temps 22-25   all 3 days 
MAX  temps   40-45 all 3  days
  MIN  temps 24-28  all 3 days 
MAX  temps   45-49 all 3  days
   MIN  temps 22-26   all 3 days 
MAX  temps   40-45 all 3  days
WEATHER FAIR ( no  weather issues)   all  3  days FAIR ( no  weather issues)   all  3  days2 FAIR ( no  weather issues)   all  3  days FAIR ( no  weather issues)   all  3  days FAIR ( no  weather issues)   all  3  days
    No VA
North VA 
 NE
Northeast  
S. CENTRAL    SE=
SOUTHEAST 
TEMPS        MIN  temps 22-26   all 3 days 
MAX  temps   40-45 all 3  days
   MIN  temps 22-26   all 3 days 
MAX  temps   40-45 all 3  days
     MIN  temps 24-27   all 3 days 
MAX  temps   43-47 all 3  days
   MIN  temps 28-32   all 3 days 
MAX  temps   45-50  all 3  days
WEATHER FAIR ( no  weather issues)   all  3  days FAIR ( no  weather issues)   all  3  days FAIR ( no  weather issues)   all  3  days FAIR ( no  weather issues)   all  3  days

    

MEDIUM  RANGE    (JAN 7-8-9) 

 
    SW=
SOUTHWEST
 ROA
ROANOKE
SHENANDOAH   S.PIEDMONT   N. PIEDMONT
TEMPS  MUCH COLDER
MIN TEMPS:  25 degrees on JAN 7.. 
15-19 degrees JAN 8 and 9
MAX TEMPS:  U 30S JAN 7… 
33-37  JAN 8  and  9 
 MUCH COLDER
MIN TEMPS:  25 degrees on JAN 7.. 
15-19 degrees JAN 8 and 9
MAX TEMPS:  U 30S JAN 7… 
33-37  JAN 8  and  9 
 MUCH COLDER
MIN TEMPS:  25 degrees on JAN 7.. 
15-19 degrees JAN 8 and 9
MAX TEMPS:  U 30S JAN 7… 
30-35  JAN 8 and 9 
 MUCH COLDER
MIN TEMPS:  25 degrees on JAN 7.. 
18-22 degrees JAN 8 and 9
MAX TEMPS:  U 30S JAN 7… 
34-38  JAN 8  and  9 
  MUCH COLDER
MIN TEMPS:  25 degrees on JAN 7.. 
15-19 degrees JAN 8 and 9
MAX TEMPS:  U 30S JAN 7… 
33-37  JAN 8 and  9 
WEATHER    SNOW  SHOWERS   JAN 8  SNOW  SHOWERS   JAN 8   SNOW  SHOWERS   JAN 8  LIGHT SNOW  SHOWERS   JAN 8 SNOW  SHOWERS   JAN 8
    No VA
North VA
 NE
Northeast 
S. CENTRAL   SE=
SOUTHEAST
TEMPS  MUCH COLDER
MIN TEMPS:  25 degrees on JAN 7.. 
15-19 degrees JAN 8 and 9
MAX TEMPS:  U 30S JAN 7… 
33-37  JAN 8 sn 9 .
 MUCH COLDER
MIN TEMPS:  25 degrees on JAN 7.. 
18-22 degrees JAN 8 and 9
MAX TEMPS:  U 30S JAN 7… 
35-40  JAN 8 and n 9 
 MUCH COLDER
MIN TEMPS:  25 degrees on JAN 7.. 
18-22 degrees JAN 8 and 9
MAX TEMPS:  U 30S JAN 7… 
35-40  JAN 8 and  9 
 MUCH COLDER
MIN TEMPS:  Upper 20s  on JAN 7.. 
20-24  degrees JAN 8 and 9
MAX TEMPS:  U 30S JAN 7… 
around 40  JAN 8 and  9 
WEATHER  SNOW  SHOWERS   JAN 8    SNOW  SHOWERS   JAN 8    SNOW  SHOWERS   JAN 8       Fair all 3 days 

WEEK 1  HAZARDS

 

  SW ROA SHNNDH S
PDMNT
N
PDMNT
North
VA
NE S.CNTL SE
WINDS gusting
>30 or more
 JAN 8 JAN 8  JAN 8  JAN 8  JAN 8  JAN 8  JANN 8  JAN 8  JAN 8 
WINDs Gusting
to 45 or more
                 
T-STORMS                  
Rain > 1.00″                  
ICE                  
SNOW 1-2″                  
SNOW 3-6″                  
SNOW> 6″                  
WIND CHILL                  

 

  WEEK  2   JAN  10- 16

 

 The   Pattern stays  COLD    and  there may be   a significant   NC VA  MD snowstorm   JAN 11-12  as well.  The  data ..as of JAN 3…  indicates there  could be significant  accumulations.   COULD BE…  
After that Low    a severly cold  arctic air mass  comes in from  Canada.   The  weather Models  in the 6-10 day  period show  a   cross polar  flow  being established   which   brings in    Much colderm air mass than Normal into  Central Canada then  into the   US.    If there is snow on  the ground   over the     Midwest and  Middle  Atlantic   region  VA  could see  temps    NEAR  ZERO  in the period JAN  14-16.

 

THIS WEEK IN WEATHER – every late Sunday afternon NOV 1- APRIL 1

Posted by wxrisk | GENERAL | Saturday 2 January 2010 8:10 pm

  

Welcome to THIS WEEK IN WEATHER….      this Blog is a relatively new product that I began last winter.     The links below will take you to another page where you can listen to an audio report that features my voice and several— ok numerous –    maps and diagrams where I discuss the the patterns over North America for the next few weeks.

What you are about to listen to this SERIOUS   meteorology    on a synoptic or large scale.    If you are a weather hobbyist or or an active energy trader the information you are about to hear will STUN you in terms of its depth and the clarity .

As you will  hear   and see from these reports….. I do NOT favor anyone one area of the the Conus / N America.   If the pattern favors more “action” over the Plains ….Midwest …or West coast …I will spend a LOT of time talking about those areas.

What you will NOT see and hear is Hype –   unlike some other subscription blogs from PA or NY.      If the pattern supports serious cold or or Northeast US snowstorm I will say so…    if it does NOT… I will say that as well.     The GOAL here is simple: to tell YOU… an energy trader… the weather hobbyist or the general public… that weather is SCIENCE and not hype and hysteria driven to get ratings.

And if MY forecast “busts” ( goes bad) …. you will NOT hear excuses like    ” well I got the pattern right”.

You see…. you can get a decent rational 2 or 3 week forecast . Really.

—————————————————————————–

 JAN 2    EDITION  click  HERE

 

 

FOR    DEC  12   EDITION …CLICK    HERE

FOR    DEC  5  EDITION …CLICK    HERE

FOR    NOV  28  EDITION …CLICK    HERE

FOR   NOV   21   EDITION … CLICK    HERE

 FOR  NOV   14  EDITION… CLICK    HERE