DT's     MIDDAY     REPORT

FOR THE  NEXT 7 DAY FORECAST    PERIOD ---  MAY  6 -12

It reach 100 in  south central   SD near    the NEB state line... with  Middle and Upper 90s   over   much of  SD NEB  KS   and Lower 90s  in OK and  TX.    East of the Mississippi river   themps were in the  Upper 70s   to Middle 70s.

In the short terms  the      data shows the first Cold front  will drop south  into   SD   MN WI    then into the  ECB  this weekend.   .   This front will produce    significant  showers  in these areas -- 40-50% coverage of 0.25-   1.00"   with a few  1.55" amounts possible.   The real question is  does the front drop  into   Northern IA?   It might

Low pressure   Sunday   passing along the MT   Canada Border will pull  up the  Hot air   into the  WCB.    After this Low passes  by   the front will sink into the   WCB   on May 10th and 11  ... which ends the heat and provides   GOOD rain threats   as  waves of little Low pressure areas   transverse the front    from West to East 

  Then  the  Canadian   European and now the   American Model develop a  major Low  coming out of the  Rockies    with  significant  rains possible  for  at least a   good portion of the Plains and  Midwest  in the MAY   13-15   time frame. The dry areas of  eastern WY  eastern MT   and the Dkotas could see well over  1.00" of rain   with  Lessor amounts   over the central and Lower Plains.  This Low does NOT look like it will bring   good rains to  the  HRWW  next week .

Week 2 does  have  several  significant rain systems   across the Midwest  and   the  central Plains .   As I suggested  Yesterday the  WEDNESDAY AY  afternoon   6-10 day forecast from the  Climate Prediciton   center  (CPC)   had a lot of rain in it over the  Upper Plains and  ALL OF THE MIDWEST.

 

ECB Columbus      Lafayette      Evansville  Click on the   cities  for  specific  Locations
CCB Peoria     Mt. Vernon
WCB St. Louis      Des Moines     Sioux Falls
UPPER  PLAINS Minneapolis     Pierre     N.Platte 
LOWER PLAINS Garden  City      Amarillo    Oklahoma  City


    

  NORMAL
MAX /MIN		 TODAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY
RAPID CITY  SD              
SCOTTSBLUFF   NEB              
GOODLAND  KS              
LIBERAL  KS              
AMARILLO TX              
LUBBOCK              

 

 

  DAY 4
12/22		 DAY 5
12/22		 DAY 6
12/22		 DAY 7
12/22		  PRECIPITATION event  1 PRECIPITATION    event 2
DAY Coverage Amounts DAY Coverage Amounts
RAPID CITY  SD                    
SCOTTSBLUFF   NEB                    
GOODLAND  KS                    
LIBERAL  KS                    
AMARILLO TX                    
LUBBOCK                    

 

 

  NORMAL
MAX /MIN		 TODAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY
AMARILLO TX              
DODGE CITY              
SCOTTSBLUFF              
FARGO              
CEDAR RAPID              
ROCKFORD              

 

 

  DAY 4
12/22		 DAY 5
12/22		 DAY 6
12/22		 DAY 7
12/22		  PRECIPITATION event  1 PRECIPITATION    event 2
DAY Coverage Amounts DAY Coverage Amounts
AMARILLO TX                    
DODGE CITY                    
SCOTTSBLUFF                    
FARGO                    
CEDAR RAPID                    
ROCKFORD                    

 

 

MAN

 Mean temps 7 or More degrees  ABOVE Normal

AN

 Mean temps 3   to 6   degrees  ABOVE Normal

N

 Mean temps +2.  ABOVE  Normal  to -2  degrees  BELOW Normal

BN

 Mean temps -3  to -6   degrees  BELOW   Normal

MBN

 Mean temps -7 or More degrees   BELOW  Normal

             

ECB  AREA  COMMENTS       Warmer  today  and     FRIDAY y   but front   over the  Great lakes will drop south    Friday night and   Saturday   bringing  SOME  showers and  cooler temps -- ESPECIALLY   north of  I-70.   Showers will hold over the   area   into next  Monday and   Tuesday   over northern   areas.   As the  Huge Low over the  Rokcies and  Upper Plains   develop    HOT temps may develop  as the front lifts back North and  south winds  bring  in the heat  for a  FEW days. .

COLUMBUS   OH    
  TEMPERATURES RAINFALL   PROBABILITIES

  Normal  69 / 48

 AMOUNTS COVERAGE
Under  25% 25% - 50% 50% - 70% 70%  +
  # of  days MAN

76   degrees+

THREE UNDER 0.10"

15%

40%

25%

20%
# of  days  AN 72 -75 TWO 0.10 - 0.50" 15% 30% 40% 15%
# of  days  NORMAL 71 - 67 TWO 0.50" -1.00" 50% 15% 5% *
# of  days  BN

65 - 63

 ZERO 1.00 -1.75"

*

*

*

*
# of  days  MBN 62  or Lower ZERO 1.75"   +

*

*

*

*

LAFAYETTE     

  TEMPERATURES RAINFALL   PROBABILITIES

Normal  69 / 46

 AMOUNTS COVERAGE
Under  25% 25% - 50% 50% - 70% 70%  +
  # of  days MAN

76  degrees+

THREE UNDER 0.10"

15%

40%

25%

20%
# of  days  AN 72 - 75 TWO 0.10 - 0.50" 15% 30% 40% 15%
# of  days  NORMAL 71 - 67 TWO 0.50" -1.00" 50% 15% 5% *
# of  days  BN

63 - 65

 ZERO 1.00 -1.75"

*

*

*

*
# of  days  MBN 62  or Lower ZERO 1.75"   +

*

*

*

*

EVANSVILLE   

  TEMPERATURES RAINFALL   PROBABILITIES

  Normal  74 / 52

 AMOUNTS COVERAGE
Under  25% 25% - 50% 50% - 70% 70%  +
  # of  days MAN

80   degrees+

THREE UNDER 0.10"

30%

40%

20%

10%
# of  days  AN 76 - 79 TWO 0.10 - 0.50" 50% 30% 15% 5%
# of  days  NORMAL 71 - 75 ONE 0.50" -1.00" 25% 10% * *
# of  days  BN

70 - 66

 ONE 1.00 -1.75"

*

*

*

*
# of  days  MBN 67  or Lower ZERO 1.75"   +

*

*

*

*

 

CCB  AREAS COMMENTS   Warmer  today  and     FRIDAY    but front   over the  Great lakes will drop south    Friday night and   Saturday   bringing  SOME  showers and  cooler temps -- ESPECIALLY   north of  I-70.   Showers will hold over the   area   into next  Monday and   Tuesday   over northern   areas.   As the  Huge Low over the  Rockies and  Upper Plains   develop    May 10-12...  HOT temps may develop   as the front lifts back North and  south winds  bring  in the heat   for a  FEW days. .

MT  VERNON   

  TEMPERATURES RAINFALL   PROBABILITIES

  Normal  73 / 49

 AMOUNTS COVERAGE
Under  25% 25% - 50% 50% - 70% 70%  +
  # of  days MAN

80    degrees+

THREE UNDER 0.10"

40%

30%

10%

10%
# of  days  AN 76 - 79 TWO 0.10 - 0.50" 50% 30% 15% 5%
# of  days  NORMAL 71 - 75 TWO 0.50" -1.00" 25% 10% * *
# of  days  BN

70 - 67

 ZERO 1.00 -1.75"

*

*

*

*
# of  days  MBN 66  or Lower ZERO 1.75"   +

*

*

*

*

PEORIA   

  TEMPERATURES RAINFALL   PROBABILITIES

  Normal  69 / 46

 AMOUNTS COVERAGE
Under  25% 25% - 50% 50% - 70% 70%  +
  # of  days MAN

76  degrees+

THREE UNDER 0.10"

15%

40%

25%

20%
# of  days  AN 75 - 72 THREE 0.10 - 0.50" 15% 30% 40% 15%
# of  days  NORMAL 71 - 67 ONE 0.50" -1.00" 50% 15% 5% *
# of  days  BN

66 - 63

 ZERO 1.00 -1.75"

*

*

*

*
# of  days  MBN 62  or Lower ZERO 1.75"   +

*

*

*

*

WCB  AREAS  COMMENTS        Expect 90s  today   Friday and  Saturday -- but the front over  SD and MN  COULD  drop into northern IA  on Saturday!!!     If so  expect some showers in Northern IA  and  into Lower  MN and  far Northern ILL   Saturday  PM and Sunday.  (Coverage will be  above  40-50%   but up to 1.00")    Expect to see   temps reach 90+  on  3 days over next 7.  Large Low over  Rockies and  Upper Plains will   keep it  warm/ hot   May 11-12....  but   that Lows's cold front will reach the  WCB by  May 13... ending  the Heat    and bringing  a general rain.    (possibly  60%    coverage of  0.25 to 1.00")

ST. LOUIS         

  TEMPERATURES RAINFALL   PROBABILITIES

  Normal  72 / 51

 AMOUNTS COVERAGE
Under  25% 25% - 50% 50% - 70% 70%  +
  # of  days MAN

79   degrees+

THREE UNDER 0.10"

30%

40%

20%

10%
# of  days  AN 75 -  78 TWO 0.10 - 0.50" 50% 30% 15% 5%
# of  days  NORMAL 74 - 70 TWO 0.50" -1.00" 25% 10% * *
# of  days  BN

69 - 66

 zero 1.00 -1.75"

*

*

*

*
# of  days  MBN 65  or Lower ZERO 1.75"   +

*

*

*

*

DES MOINES     

  TEMPERATURES RAINFALL   PROBABILITIES

  Normal  68 / 46

 AMOUNTS COVERAGE
Under  25% 25% - 50% 50% - 70% 70%  +
  # of  days MAN

75   degrees+

 THREE UNDER 0.10"

30%

40%

20%

10%
# of  days  AN 74 - 71 TWO 0.10 - 0.50" 25% 35% 30% 10%
# of  days  NORMAL 70 - 66 ONE 0.50" -1.00" 35% 20% * *
# of  days  BN

65 - 62

 ONE 1.00 -1.75"

*

*

*

*
# of  days  MBN 61  or Lower ZERO 1.75"   +

*

*

*

*

SIOUX   FALLS    
  TEMPERATURES RAINFALL   PROBABILITIES

  Normal  68 / 44

 AMOUNTS COVERAGE
Under  25% 25% - 50% 50% - 70% 70%  +
  # of  days MAN

75   degrees+

THREE UNDER 0.10"

30%

40%

20%

10%
# of  days  AN 71 - 74 TWO 0.10 - 0.50" 25% 35% 30% 10%
# of  days  NORMAL 70 - 66 ONE 0.50" -1.00" 35% 20% * *
# of  days  BN

65 - 62

 ONE 1.00 -1.75"

*

*

*

*
# of  days  MBN 61  or Lower ZERO 1.75"   +

*

*

*

*

 

UPPER  PLAINS      BIG  temperature differences  over next 7 days.    ND will not see  much  in terms of the warmth while    Northern   portions of  SD   sat cool  and   central NEB gets plenty hot.   Expect to see   temps reach 90+ at last   three days over next 7 over  SD  and  NEB.      Strong cold   front arrives this weekend  over  ND   into  SD and NEB by Monday.     Middle of next week Looks  stormy.

 

  MINNEAPOLIS   MN    

  TEMPERATURES RAINFALL   PROBABILITIES

  Normal  68 / 44

 AMOUNTS COVERAGE
Under  25% 25% - 50% 50% - 70% 70%  +
  # of  days MAN

69   degrees+

TWO UNDER 0.10"

15%

30%

35%

20%
# of  days  AN 66 - 68 TWO 0.10 - 0.50" 15% 30% 35% 20%
# of  days  NORMAL 65 -61 TWO 0.50" -1.00" 20% 30% 30% 20%
# of  days  BN

60 -57

ONE 1.00 -1.75" 20% 30% 30% 20%
# of  days  MBN 56  or lower ZERO 1.75"   +

20%

15%

*

*

 

PIERRE   SD     

  TEMPERATURES RAINFALL   PROBABILITIES

  Normal  67 / 43

 AMOUNTS COVERAGE
Under  25% 25% - 50% 50% - 70% 70%  +
  # of  days MAN

69   degrees+

THREE UNDER 0.10"

15%

30%

35%

20%
# of  days  AN 65 -  68 TWO 0.10 - 0.50" 15% 30% 35% 20%
# of  days  NORMAL 64 - 60 TWO 0.50" -1.00" 20% 30% 30% 20%
# of  days  BN

59 - 56

 ZERO 1.00 -1.75" 20% 30% 30% 20%
# of  days  MBN 55  or Lower ZERO 1.75"   +

20%

15%

*

*

 

N.  PLATTE    NEB     

  TEMPERATURES RAINFALL   PROBABILITIES

  Normal  70 / 45

 AMOUNTS COVERAGE
Under  25% 25% - 50% 50% - 70% 70%  +
  # of  days MAN

76   degrees+

THREE UNDER 0.10"

15%

30%

35%

20%
# of  days  AN 73 - 75 TWO 0.10 - 0.50" 15% 30% 35% 20%
# of  days  NORMAL 71 -72 TWO 0.50" -1.00" 20% 30% 30% 20%
# of  days  BN

66 - 63

 ZERO 1.00 -1.75" 35% 35% 20% 10%
# of  days  MBN 62   degrees+ ZERO 1.75"   +

20%

15%

*

*

 

LOWER   PLAINS      HOT  -- for   early MAY that is-- and dry week coming up. 

 

GARDEN  CITY    KS     

  TEMPERATURES RAINFALL   PROBABILITIES

   Normal  68 / 40

 AMOUNTS COVERAGE
Under  25% 25% - 50% 50% - 70% 70%  +
  # of  days MAN

75   degrees+

THREE UNDER 0.10"

30%

40%

20%

10%
# of  days  AN 71 - 74 TWO 0.10 - 0.50" 50% 30% 15% 5%
# of  days  NORMAL 70 - 66 TWO 0.50" -1.00" 30% 10% * *
# of  days  BN

64 - 62

 ZERO 1.00 -1.75"

*

*

*

*
# of  days  MBN 61  or Lower ZERO 1.75"   +

*

*

*

*

 

AMARILLO   TX     
  TEMPERATURES RAINFALL   PROBABILITIES

   Normal 75 /  47

 AMOUNTS COVERAGE
Under  25% 25% - 50% 50% - 70% 70%  +
  # of  days MAN

82   degrees+

THREE UNDER 0.10"

30%

40%

20%

10%
# of  days  AN 78 - 81 TWO 0.10 - 0.50" 50% 30% 15% 5%
# of  days  NORMAL 77 - 73 TWO 0.50" -1.00" 30% 10% * *
# of  days  BN

72 - 69

 ZERO 1.00 -1.75"

*

*

*

*
# of  days  MBN 68 or Lower ZERO 1.75"   +

*

*

*

*

 

OKLAHOMA    CITY  OK   
  TEMPERATURES RAINFALL   PROBABILITIES

     Normal 76 / 53

 AMOUNTS COVERAGE
Under  25% 25% - 50% 50% - 70% 70%  +
  # of  days MAN

83   degrees+

THREE UNDER 0.10"

30%

40%

20%

10%
# of  days  AN 79 - 82 TWO 0.10 - 0.50" 50% 30% 15% 5%
# of  days  NORMAL 78 - 74 TWO 0.50" -1.00" 30% 10% * *
# of  days  BN

73 - 70

 ZERO 1.00 -1.75"

*

*

*

*
# of  days  MBN 69 or Lower ZERO 1.75"   +

*

*

*

*