STARDATE 201702.6 FIRST GUESS FORECAST MAP After some massive flip flopping by the operational GFS amnd some syb poart permformance by the GFS ensembles on Monday the midday Tuesday data is much strionger on ALL the models. Even the European model which had some of the weakest or lowest snow accumulations turned colder […]
About David Tolleris
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David Tolleris has contributed 27 entries to our website, so far.
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STARDATE 201612.28 2200 EST BE SURE TO READ THIS FIRST UNDERSTANDING THE WXRISK SNOWSTORM PAGE NEW MAP WHAT IS THE RSI — REGIONAL SNOWSTORM INDEX? WHAT IS THE NESIS NORTHEAST SNOWSTORM INDEX SCALE 2. 3. 4. 5. […]
IF THE AUDIO DOES NOT SHOW UP IN YOUR BROWSER… SMART PHONE… TABLET etc use this Link which will open up a new Tab and play the audio.. THEN come back to this page and look at maps ! 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 […]
WXRISK WINTER FORECAST 2016-17 SHORT VERSION . . . WXRISK WINTER FORECAST 2016-17 LONG VERSION
STARDATE 201610.04 1055 EDT After viewing the morning hurricane models as well as the European ensembles I am sure that there will be significant changes in language at 11:00 AM from the hurricane center in the discussion about what Matthew might do for the southeast US coastal areas and possibly into […]
stardate 201610.01 BENCHMARK METHOD The benchmark method in hurricane forecasting is a little known but extremely useful technique when there is a great deal of model uncertainty which is the case with hurricane Matthew. The benchmark method uses hurricane models global models and also the climatology. It is based on the idea of building […]
STAR DATE 201609.21 1500 EDT CLICK ON IMAGES TO SEE FULL SIZE We begin by pointing out that the of the September 15 edition of the NEXT 3 WEEKENDS newsletter it correctly forecasted that for the beginning of THIS week –specifically September 20 – 21 — was going […]