Archive

STARDATE   201804.05 hello from  California. I am on the  west coast attending  to  family matters  ( funeral  for my  brother in law)  and I dont have   access to the same  software that I have  when I do  all of the updates  when I am in my  home office in   VA   so instead of making a […]

STARDATE  201803.21     1500  EDT As some of you may have heard me mention earlier on videos… on the website and on the Facebook page…. there is    ANOTHER threat which is coming fast and poses the serious  threat of a significant snow  for the southern half of west Virginia the southern half of the […]

STARDATE  201803.20 This remains a very tricky forecast unless you are over the interior areas of the Middle   Atlantic but I do think we are seeing some important trends and pieces are falling into place. First let’s talk about the new and final LAST CALL MAP.   There  are  2  images I am presenting here   —  […]

STAR DATE  201803.18 The main change and the midday or Sunday afternoon weather models has to do with the change in the track in that position of the SECOND event / LOW w pressure area on March 21. These changes in all of the Sunday afternoon data means MORE snow than previously forecast may occur […]

BACK FROM DEAD — Since the system is delayed somewhat I thought I would take the extra time to catch up on sleep so I do not pose during the wee morning hours about this event like I have over the past few days. That being said it should not be taken that somehow… because […]

STARDATE  201803.6  1230  EST  FIRST CALL MAP / UPDATE ON MARCH 7-8 EAST COAST SNOWSTORM – This easily one of the most challenging forecast in many years that features EXTREME bust Potential for areas such as Philly into central NJ and into NYC western Long Island and sw coastal CT. There are soooooo many variables… […]

STARDATE 201802.15   1030 est The overnight and early Thursday morning models continue to go back in fourth with the potential snow event for Saturday night February 17 into the predawn hours of the 18. The key to this forecast which is quite tricky but very interesting are the following factors 1 The timing of the […]

STARDATE 201712.21  2300 I probably should of posted of this earlier on Thursday but it has s been a super busy day. This is a the summary of Mode data with regard to 2 winter potential events for the Mid Atlantic region — a relatively minor to moderate event on December 28 and a much […]

CHAOS/ UNCERTAINTY when this image is the WxRisk avatar it means that  things are   very  uncertain and  chaotic. The overall pattern may be  changing in some significant way  but   exactly  how  things   may develop  is very much uncertain   HAPPY   DOG  when this image is the WxRisk avatar it means that things look favorable   for […]

STARDATE  201711.06 This image has two different maps for your consideration. The image on the LEFT shows the snow cover over North America as of November 5 from 2016.  As you can see the snow line was significantly further to the north then it should of been for early November in Canada. Typically the snow […]