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HERE YA  GO   When  you  click on the link  it will download. If  you do NOT want to  download  the pdf  but only  wish to read it    go to the 2nd link below    RULES FOR FORECASTING EAST COAST HURRICANES    LINK  #2 read on line / no download       RULES  FOR  FORECASTING  […]

STARDATE   201709.21   It is still too early to say for a fact that hurricane Maria is going to miss the U.S. East Coast but the odds are strongly against it.   There is a window of opportunity however that does have to be watched with regard to hurricane Maria and I will show […]

STARDATE 201709.16    1700EDT As a general rule you should never ever give the “all clear sign” for a potential hurricane that is paralleling a populated coast — in this case the East Coast — until the tropical cyclone has reached your latitude or further north. And since that has not happen on this Saturday […]

STARDATE   201709.14   Here is My latest on tropical storm Jose. Even though the system has weakened as forecasted it is now moving out of of its clockwise loop. It has encountered significant sheer and cooler sea surface temps but it is still fairly well organized. Jose is now moving west and over the […]

STARDATE  201709.11    For those of us who like tropical meteorology and hurricanes ….having to back to back massive hurricanes like this only week apart is historically exceptional. In fact according to Dr. Phillip Klotzback this is the first time we have ever seen this in the Atlantic Basin. Harvey, Irma and Jose all reached […]

STARDATE   201709.07   The United States is blessed with having for the generally benign near perfect type of climate conditions and the other weather conditions. The two large bodies of water along with the Gulf of Mexico consistently impact our weather usually in good ways. It is one the reasons why the US has […]

STARDATE   201709.06   This is going to run a bit late because   I am not doing that well in terms of getting past this hacking cough and the workload is tiring me out pretty quickly. But there is also a lot a weather to talk about so would see how we can make […]

AMAZING    SATELLITE LOOP  As you can see from this latest satellite loop it is pretty clear now that IRMA is now moving WNW which means it will probably pass over the island of Antigua. When I was a teenager live there for 2 years and got my first job working at weather station when […]

First let me apologize for my enforced absence today. Fighting off the heavy cold… But I Am doing somewhat better now. We will start out by taking a look of the hurricane models early Sunday morning and then the midday runs. As I am sure some you know by now all of the hurricane models […]

201709.2 first officer DT Rex reporting… There is no doubt that all the models early Saturday morning shifted the track of hurricane IRMA to the west as it moves through the Bahamas. This brings IRMA closer to direct contact / landfall on the southeast or Middle Atlantic coasts …depending on the model… and NORTH of […]