Archive

One of the important things that are overlooked in making the final winter forecast is the development of coastal LOW-pressure areas during the months of October and November which impact the East Coast. These might be inland coastal Low or actual true nor’easter but the point is to see how much activity there is in […]

 THIS LINK  WILL DOWNLOAD   A  POWERPOINT  PRESENTATION 1ST WINTER FORECAST 2019-20       THIS LINK WILL  TAKE YOU TO  MS  CLOUD THAT  HAS THE FORECAST .. JUST CLICK  ON  IT AND IT  WILL  OPEN TO  FULL SIZE PRELIM WINTER 20-19-20 FORECAST     

 STARDATE 201909.10   2300 EDT Now that we had Dorian and an overall increase  in overall tropical activity…it seems that any sort of tropical wave activity is going to get a lot of attention especially as we move into the heart of the hurricane season. This has, unfortunately, lead to a lot of speculation which is […]

It seemed only few weeks ago that every one was complaining about how wet the pattern was –especially when it came to the weekends over the Middle Atlantic region and the East Coast in general. That perception was accurate because we were stuck in a pattern that with featured a lot of rain and especially […]

STARDATE 201812.02    Before the main event this coming weekend … you should be aware that there is going to be a strong upper air disturbance in the jet stream which will sweep through Tennessee …North Carolina …and Virginia on Wednesday, December 5. Several days ago the potential exists for this upper air disturbance to […]

STARDATE   201811.24 For many of these areas this will be the first snow the season while for other locations.. this will be the second snow of the season. This is a tricky situation because the system is not being handled well by the various weather models.     However as we get closer to November 30 […]

STARDATE  201811.17  It’s 1:00 AM on Saturday November 17 …. and I am functioning on 6 hours of sleep.  But instead of waiting until  Saturday morning here I am posting comments and analysis of the 312 hour GFS ensemble.  That is because right   now  DT is sexy. And even beyond  NOV 30 there is  ANOTHER   […]

SEE  LINK  

STARDATE  201810.26     0030 EDT            ** BE SURE TO CLICK  ON MAPS  TO SEE FULL IMAGE *** The weather models on Wednesday evening are in pretty good agreement  and do not  show any big changes with regard to  the  coastal storm / Nor’easter for this weekend–  specifically for Friday and Saturday.  […]

STARDATE      201809.12   CLICK ON IMAGES TO SEE  FULL  SIZE   Today I am doing this update on hurricane Florence the old fashioned — no audio this afternoon no video just a regular ordinary of blog d update. I will start out by making some assertions or forecasts and then explain why (the […]