UPDATE ABOUT APRIL 7 SNOW IN WVA VA MD DEL SE A NJ
hello from California. I am on the west coast attending to family matters ( funeral for my brother in law) and I dont have access to the same software that I have when I do all of the updates when I am in my home office in VA so instead of making a Looooong Facebook page ...I will put it the new info here
Here are some of the snowfall projection from the 0z THURSDAY Models for this weekend. The 1st image on the LEFT is the 0z THU operational ENHANCED European model (that counts snow and rain as all snow... rain and sleet as all snow) while the image on the right is the more realistic euro model that counts only snow as snow
next we have the 0z GFS snowfall projections ... the 0z Euro ensemble mean... the 0z 12KM NAM and the Canadian. This all certainly looks impressive !!
This image shows max temps on FRI... yes 67 degrees at RIC... 63 at DC.... 60 at BAL.... 65 at C'ville... 66 at Roanoke. As we get later into the warm seasons these cold front dont drive as far south as they use to. THINK ABOUT IT... how often do we see cold fronts stalling or breaking down in the Summers months when they try and come south from Canada or the Great Lakes? Thus it only makes sense that even though forecast models several days will show the cold front reaching the VA NC border... but as we gt closer to the event and later into Spring the data begins to slow down then delay the impact of the front ,. That is exactly what we are seeing here.
Here we see the 0z THURS EUR\IO temps valid Saturday morning... as you can see on the Euro temps are waaaaay too warm for snow at RIC 42 at RIC 46 ar Roanoke 37 at DCA 38 at C'ville ...even Winchester/ Martinsburg WVA has temps in mid 30s !! BY Saturday 7-8PM the Euro still has temps above 32 degrees in most areas... this means the snow fall amounts shown on the ENHANCED euro snow models are very unlikely to occur